Mil-SpecHeavyStatTrak™Souvenir

XM1014Watchdog

XM1014 | Watchdog
⬢ View in 3D — real game model & texture

Cheapest nowLive check ·

$6.94

on Tradeit.gg

View on Tradeit.gg

Float Range

0.001.00

0.000.250.500.751.00

Market Position

Heavy Market
Top 45%Heavy price rank
MediumLiquidity · 60/100
Plentiful2,785 listings · all wears
2.3KSteam sales · 30 days
↑ 4%7-day sales pace

XM1014 | Watchdog recorded 571 Steam Market sales in the past 7 days against a 548-per-week average over the last 30 days (7,945 in 90 days) — trading is in line with its usual pace.

Variants

5 variants

This finish also drops as a Souvenir item from souvenir packages. The prices below are for the standard version.

Also priced separately: StatTrak™ Watchdog · Souvenir Watchdog

Summary

CategorySkin
TypeHeavy
WeaponXM1014
FinishWatchdog
CollectionThe Operation Riptide Collection
RarityMil-Spec
Float Range0.001.00
StatTrakYes
SouvenirYes

Item Class

Mil-SpecStatTrak
All MarketplacesFactory NewLive check Sep 2, 08:23 UTC · snapshot Aug 27
Tradeit.gg
Tradeit.gg
4.8ReviewCSDB
from$6.94
BestBuy Here →
Skin.Land
Skin.Land
from$7.08
+2%Buy Here →
Buff163
Buff163
from$7.11
+2%Buy Here →
Youpin (UU)
Youpin (UU)
from$7.13
+3%Buy Here →
HaloSkins
HaloSkins
from$7.21
+4%Buy Here →
CSFloat
CSFloat
4.8Review
from$7.22
+4%Buy Here →
SkinFlow
SkinFlow
from$7.63
+10%Buy Here →
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4.0ReviewCSDB
from$7.73
+11%Buy Here →
DMarket
DMarket
4.0Review
from$7.81
+13%Buy Here →
CSGO.com
CSGO.com
from$7.94
+14%Buy Here →
Skinport
Skinport
4.9ReviewCSDB
from$9.58
+38%Buy Here →
Steam Market
Steam Market
from$9.66
+39%Buy Here →
SkinBaron
SkinBaron
4.4Review
from$19.64
+183%Buy Here →
LIS-SKINS
LIS-SKINS
4.8Review34 listings
from$23.21
+234%Buy Here →
Looking for the best place to trade?Compare fees, features, and trust scores across 15+ CS2 trading platforms.
Compare Trading Sites →
PopularityRanked #7,319 by market activity · 2,347 sales in 30 days
RarityMil-Spec · ~79.92% case drop odds · 1 of 210 heavy skins
First seen14 September 2021 · 4 years on the market
Availability2,785 active listings (all wears) · $1.05–$6.94 across wears
VersionsAll 5 wears · StatTrak · Souvenir

Float & Wear Range

0.001.00
0.00 FN0.070.15 MW0.38 FT0.45 WW1.00 BS

XM1014 | Watchdog has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00. This skin can drop in all wear conditions from Factory New to Battle-Scarred.

Float Strategy

  • 5 of 5 wears exist: Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred — the full float spectrum.
  • FN vs MW: Factory New ($6.94) trades at a 183% premium over Minimal Wear ($2.45) — Minimal Wear is the value pick for a near-clean look.
  • Cheapest entry: Well-Worn from $1.05 on DMarket.

Lowest Floats on the Market

Market Intelligence

Factory New
Market estimate$5.27$8.61
medium confidence

Based on asking prices across 12 tracked markets — no completed-sale prices recorded for this wear.

Liquidity77/100Very liquid
  • 2,347 sales in 30 days
  • 2,785 listings across markets
  • 183% cross-market spread
  • ~35.6 days of supply at the current sale rate
Cross-market spread183%across 12 markets
  • Cheapest $6.94
  • Dearest $19.64

What it costs to buy

MarketListingFeeTotal
Tradeit.ggfee unpublished$6.94$6.94
Skin.Landfee unpublished$7.08$7.08
Buff163fee unpublished$7.11$7.11

What you'd receive selling

MarketPriceFeesNet
SkinBaron$19.6415% + 0%$16.69
Skinport$9.588% + 0%$8.81
DMarketbefore payout fee$7.812%$7.65

Fees are read from each operator's own published schedule (see fee tracker). Where one publishes none, the figure is marked rather than assumed to be zero.

How these figures are calculated

Recent Sales — What It Actually Sells For

Listed prices are asks; these are completed sales on Skinport over the last 7 and 30 days. The gap between the two is the real negotiating room.

WearSold (7d)Median (7d)Sold (30d)Median (30d)30d range
StatTrak™ Factory New1$23.697$23.25$20.85$28.96
StatTrak™ Minimal Wear4$6.9311$6.56$5.75$13.90
StatTrak™ Field-Tested2$3.2211$3.65$2.63$5.13
StatTrak™ Well-Worn02$2.11$2.06$2.17
StatTrak™ Battle-Scarred03$2.18$2.03$2.19

Sold-price data via Skinport, refreshed daily (as of 2 Sept). One marketplace's completed sales — a floor on truth, not the whole market.

Price History

Loading price history...

Full Price History

XM1014 | Watchdog Steam price and trading volume since Sep 2021173 days tracked.

$38.25Latest
$40.51All-time high
$2.57All-time low
1,463Total sold
Sep 2021Trading volumeJul 2026

Full price & volume history via SteamWebAPI · Steam Community Market.

Market Intelligence — Factory New

Live cross-market listings, liquidity and order-book depth, updated hourly.

ReleasedSep 2021Trade lock7 daysOff-Steam35% cheaper
2sold / 24h
10sold / 7d
~13hto sell
2,987buy orders
23listings
7,528sold all-time
Recent Steam sales
$29.99Sep 1$30.31Sep 1$29.90Aug 30$33.60Aug 29$34.72Aug 28$29.90Aug 28

Cross-market data via SteamWebAPI · outbound links open the marketplace listing.

XM1014 | Watchdog — Cheapest Price by Wear

The lowest live price for each wear condition of XM1014 | Watchdog. Prices are in USD and update regularly.

Wear ConditionCheapest PriceCheapest MarketplaceAvg. Price# Listings
Factory New$6.94Tradeit.gg$8.6713
Minimal Wear$2.45SkinBaron$2.8713
Field-Tested$1.49Skin.Land$2.0812
Well-Worn$1.05DMarket$1.2711
Battle-Scarred$1.07Buff163$1.2712

Steam Market vs Third-Party Prices

The Steam Community Market usually lists XM1014 | Watchdoghigher than third-party marketplaces — but Steam sales keep the funds in your Steam wallet, while third-party sales can cash out. The spread below compares Steam's listing price with the cheapest third-party offer per wear.

WearSteam MarketCheapest Third-PartySpread
Factory New$9.66$6.94 (Tradeit.gg)+39%
Minimal Wear$3.75$2.45 (SkinBaron)+53%
Field-Tested$2.23$1.49 (Skin.Land)+50%
Well-Worn$1.68$1.05 (DMarket)+60%
Battle-Scarred$1.64$1.07 (Buff163)+53%

Steam takes roughly a 15% fee from the seller and balances can't be withdrawn, so a positive spread doesn't automatically mean arbitrage — it reflects the premium buyers pay for wallet-funded convenience.

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog Prices

StatTrak™ versions track confirmed kills and typically cost more than standard versions.

Wear ConditionCheapest PriceCheapest MarketplaceAvg. PricePremium vs Normal
Factory New$22.56DMarket$25.29+225%
Minimal Wear$5.03Buff163$5.74+105%
Field-Tested$2.66Buff163$3.23+79%
Well-Worn$1.62Tradeit.gg$2.00+54%
Battle-Scarred$1.49Skin.Land$1.81+39%

About XM1014 | Watchdog

The XM1014 is a powerful fully automatic shotgun that justifies its heftier price tag with the ability to paint a room with lead fast. It has been custom painted with a jade green base and two guardian lions watching either direction. A third lion has been painted beneath the rear sight. Protect and prosper— Official in-game description

The XM1014 | Watchdog is a Mil-Spec grade heavy skin in Counter-Strike 2, part of the The Operation Riptide Collection. StatTrak versions are available, which track your kill count with this weapon. This skin is also available as a Souvenir drop from major tournaments.

The skin is currently available in 5 wear conditions: Factory New ($6.94) — near-perfect condition with minimal scratches, float value between 0.00 and 0.07, Minimal Wear ($2.45) — slight cosmetic wear with minor scratches, float value between 0.07 and 0.15, Field-Tested ($1.49) — moderate wear with visible scratches and marks, float value between 0.15 and 0.38, Well-Worn ($1.05) — significant wear with noticeable scratches and fading, float value between 0.38 and 0.45, and Battle-Scarred ($1.07) — heavy wear with major scratches, chips and fading, float value between 0.45 and 1.00.

The float value range for XM1014 | Watchdog is 0.00 to 1.00. Lower float values mean less wear on the skin's texture. A float of 0.00 will look the cleanest, while 1.00 will show the most wear. Use the Float Checker to analyze specific float values, or read our Float Guide to learn more.

Looking for the best deal? Use our Skin Compare tool to compare this skin with alternatives, or track price trends on the Price Tracker. You can also check the Market Trends page for broader investment insights.

The XM1014 is a heavy in CS2 that costs $2,000 in-game. It deals 20 base damage at 171 rounds per minute. Browse all XM1014 skins for more options.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much is XM1014 | Watchdog?
The XM1014 | Watchdog ranges from $1.05 to $6.94 depending on wear condition. Factory New starts at $6.94, Minimal Wear starts at $2.45, Field-Tested starts at $1.49, Well-Worn starts at $1.05, Battle-Scarred starts at $1.07.
Is XM1014 | Watchdog a good buy right now?
Based on current market data for XM1014 | Watchdog: liquidity is medium (60/100), so it resells quickly at market price; it recorded 2,347 Steam Market sales in the last 30 days; at $1.05 it sits in the top 45% of heavy skins by price; supply is plentiful with 2,785 active listings across all wears. Steady volume and healthy liquidity make it a reasonably safe buy at current prices.
Where is the cheapest place to buy XM1014 | Watchdog?
The cheapest listing for XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) is currently $6.94 on Tradeit.gg. Compare prices across all 13 marketplaces above.
What float range does XM1014 | Watchdog have?
XM1014 | Watchdog has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00. This means it can drop in Factory New condition.
What's the cheapest wear for XM1014 | Watchdog?
Well-Worn is the cheapest wear for XM1014 | Watchdog, starting at $1.05 on DMarket. Wears from cheapest to priciest: Well-Worn ($1.05), Battle-Scarred ($1.07), Field-Tested ($1.49), Minimal Wear ($2.45), Factory New ($6.94).
What collection is XM1014 | Watchdog from?
XM1014 | Watchdog is from the The Operation Riptide Collection. Other skins from this collection can be found on the collection page.

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