Live CS2 Tool
CS2 Trade-Up Finder
Every single-collection trade-up contract in CS2, recomputed hourly from live prices and ranked by expected value. Found one you like? Open it in the calculator and tune the inputs.
EV-Positive Contracts Right Now
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Gamma 2 Collection | Five-SeveN | Scumbria $0.06 each | $0.60 | $1.04 | 73% | 100% | MAG-7 | Petroglyph $1.10 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fracture Collection | Galil AR | Connexion $0.21 each | $2.10 | $3.26 | 55% | 100% | M4A4 | Tooth Fairy $3.28 |
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Prisma Collection | FAMAS | Crypsis $0.08 each | $0.80 | $1.10 | 37% | 40% | AWP | Atheris $3.10 |
| Restricted → Classified The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | USP-S | Ticket to Hell $0.49 each | $4.90 | $5.60 | 14% | 100% | MP7 | Abyssal Apparition $5.64 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fever Collection | Nova | Rising Sun $0.34 each | $3.40 | $3.88 | 14% | 100% | Glock-18 | Shinobu $3.93 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma Collection | R8 Revolver | Reboot $0.98 each | $9.80 | $10.80 | 10% | 100% | SCAR-20 | Bloodsport $11.28 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma 2 Collection | SG 553 | Darkwing $0.45 each | $4.50 | $4.96 | 10% | 100% | MAG-7 | Justice $5.05 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 3 Collection | P250 | Asiimov $10.63 each | $106.30 | $114.09 | 7% | 100% | PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis $114.39 |
| Restricted → Classified The Kilowatt Collection | MP7 | Just Smile $0.30 each | $3.00 | $3.22 | 7% | 33% | M4A1-S | Black Lotus $3.77 |
| Classified → Covert The Horizon Collection | Sawed-Off | Devourer $3.80 each | $38.00 | $40.55 | 7% | 100% | Desert Eagle | Code Red $41.07 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma 2 Collection | Tec-9 | Fuel Injector $10.03 each | $100.30 | $107.02 | 7% | 100% | FAMAS | Roll Cage $107.46 |
| Classified → Covert The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement $5.56 each | $55.60 | $59.30 | 7% | 100% | MP9 | Starlight Protector $60.19 |
| Restricted → Classified The Vanguard Collection | Sawed-Off | Highwayman $0.83 each | $8.30 | $8.80 | 6% | 67% | XM1014 | Tranquility $9.42 |
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Chroma 3 Collection | MP9 | Bioleak $0.10 each | $1.00 | $1.06 | 6% | 100% | Tec-9 | Re-Entry $1.13 |
| Restricted → Classified The Danger Zone Collection | MAC-10 | Pipe Down $0.40 each | $4.00 | $4.23 | 6% | 33% | Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries $4.86 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 3 Collection | Galil AR | Firefight $1.03 each | $10.30 | $10.86 | 5% | 100% | AUG | Fleet Flock $11.01 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 2 Collection | Galil AR | Eco $10.79 each | $107.90 | $113.60 | 5% | 100% | MAC-10 | Neon Rider $115.21 |
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Spectrum 2 Collection | AUG | Triqua $0.09 each | $0.90 | $0.94 | 4% | 100% | CZ75-Auto | Tacticat $0.97 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum 2 Collection | UMP-45 | Exposure $0.90 each | $9.00 | $9.37 | 4% | 100% | M4A1-S | Leaded Glass $9.45 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma Collection | AUG | Momentum $4.91 each | $49.10 | $50.87 | 4% | 100% | Five-SeveN | Angry Mob $51.44 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma Collection | P2000 | Imperial Dragon $10.34 each | $103.40 | $106.89 | 3% | 100% | M4A1-S | Mecha Industries $108.30 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma Collection | MP5-SD | Gauss $0.49 each | $4.90 | $5.05 | 3% | 100% | XM1014 | Incinegator $5.25 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma 2 Collection | Desert Eagle | Directive $1.00 each | $10.00 | $10.30 | 3% | 100% | AUG | Syd Mead $10.53 |
| Classified → Covert The Revolver Case Collection | P90 | Shapewood $6.98 each | $69.80 | $71.48 | 2% | 100% | R8 Revolver | Fade $72.51 |
| Restricted → Classified The Recoil Collection | R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 $0.31 each | $3.10 | $3.17 | 2% | 33% | AK-47 | Ice Coaled $3.67 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma 2 Collection | AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor $4.85 each | $48.50 | $49.54 | 2% | 100% | M4A1-S | Player Two $50.28 |
| Classified → Covert The Fever Collection | UMP-45 | K.O. Factory $3.85 each | $38.50 | $39.28 | 2% | 100% | FAMAS | Bad Trip $39.58 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 2 Collection | CZ75-Auto | Pole Position $1.07 each | $10.70 | $10.84 | 1% | 100% | Five-SeveN | Monkey Business $10.88 |
| Restricted → Classified The Shadow Collection | M249 | Nebula Crusader $0.91 each | $9.10 | $9.21 | 1% | 33% | AK-47 | Frontside Misty $14.63 |
EV assumes each outcome is equally likely (true for single-collection contracts) and uses each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides. Verify floats and wear-specific prices in the trade-up calculator before committing skins — contracts are irreversible.
Closest to Break-Even
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted → Classified The Snakebite Collection | MAC-10 | Button Masher $0.30 each | $3.00 | $2.99 | -0% | 67% | MP9 | Food Chain $3.05 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum 2 Collection | PP-Bizon | High Roller $9.26 each | $92.60 | $92.12 | -1% | 50% | AK-47 | The Empress $93.45 |
| Classified → Covert The Recoil Collection | P250 | Visions $2.85 each | $28.50 | $27.95 | -2% | 50% | USP-S | Printstream $29.95 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum Collection | MAC-10 | Last Dive $1.15 each | $11.50 | $11.18 | -3% | 0% | M4A1-S | Decimator $11.49 |
| Restricted → Classified The Clutch Collection | Nova | Wild Six $0.32 each | $3.20 | $3.10 | -3% | 0% | AWP | Mortis $3.20 |
| Restricted → Classified The Glove Collection | Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts $2.77 each | $27.70 | $26.50 | -4% | 0% | FAMAS | Mecha Industries $26.65 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum Collection | CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu $10.98 each | $109.80 | $104.84 | -5% | 50% | AK-47 | Bloodsport $115.69 |
| Restricted → Classified The Shattered Web Collection | PP-Bizon | Embargo $1.28 each | $12.80 | $12.20 | -5% | 67% | SSG 08 | Bloodshot $16.23 |
| Classified → Covert The Danger Zone Collection | MP5-SD | Phosphor $3.89 each | $38.90 | $37.05 | -5% | 0% | AWP | Neo-Noir $37.68 |
| Classified → Covert The Shadow Collection | G3SG1 | Flux $5.09 each | $50.90 | $48.28 | -5% | 50% | USP-S | Kill Confirmed $51.77 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the trade-up finder work?
Every hour we recompute every single-collection trade-up contract: 10 of the cheapest same-rarity skins from one collection, against the average market value of that collection's next-tier skins (each outcome is equally likely in a single-collection contract). Contracts are ranked by expected profit relative to cost.
Why don't I see map-collection skins here?
Skins from souvenir and map collections (Norse, Canals, St. Marc, and similar) are not trade-up eligible — they only come from souvenir packages. The scanner covers case collections, whose skins can actually enter contracts.
Why single-collection contracts?
With all 10 inputs from one collection, the outcome pool is fully deterministic and every next-tier skin is equally likely — so the expected value is exact, not an estimate. Mixing collections can improve odds further; take any base contract into our trade-up calculator to experiment with ratios.
Is expected value guaranteed profit?
No. EV is the long-run average across many contracts — a single trade-up can land on the cheapest outcome. The 'hit chance' column shows the share of outcomes that beat your cost on their own. Never trade more than you can afford to lose to variance.
Why do the numbers differ from what I see in-game?
Prices move constantly and wear matters: we use each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides, and the output's float derives from your inputs' floats. Before trading, check the actual floats and wear-specific prices of your exact inputs in the trade-up calculator.
Can trade-ups produce knives?
Since the October 2025 update, Covert-tier contracts can output knives from eligible cases — a separate mechanic from the collection contracts listed here, with its own economics.