Live CS2 Tool
CS2 Trade-Up Finder
Every single-collection trade-up contract in CS2, recomputed hourly from live prices and ranked by expected value. Found one you like? Open it in the calculator and tune the inputs.
EV-Positive Contracts Right Now
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted → Classified The Kilowatt Collection | Five-SeveN | Hybrid $0.21 each | $2.10 | $2.70 | 29% | 100% | M4A1-S | Black Lotus $3.20 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fever Collection | Nova | Rising Sun $0.30 each | $3.00 | $3.50 | 17% | 100% | Glock-18 | Shinobu $3.58 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fracture Collection | Tec-9 | Brother $0.26 each | $2.60 | $2.93 | 13% | 100% | Glock-18 | Vogue $3.01 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 3 Collection | CZ75-Auto | Red Astor $0.89 each | $8.90 | $9.73 | 9% | 100% | UMP-45 | Primal Saber $9.85 |
| Restricted → Classified The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | G3SG1 | Dream Glade $0.42 each | $4.20 | $4.59 | 9% | 100% | MP7 | Abyssal Apparition $4.73 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma 2 Collection | SG 553 | Darkwing $0.40 each | $4.00 | $4.35 | 9% | 100% | AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor $4.46 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma Collection | P90 | Chopper $0.91 each | $9.10 | $9.90 | 9% | 100% | M4A4 | Desolate Space $10.34 |
| Classified → Covert The Revolver Case Collection | G3SG1 | The Executioner $6.33 each | $63.30 | $67.36 | 6% | 100% | R8 Revolver | Fade $69.71 |
| Restricted → Classified The CS20 Collection | UMP-45 | Plastique $0.32 each | $3.20 | $3.40 | 6% | 33% | MP9 | Hydra $4.01 |
| Classified → Covert The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | Dual Berettas | Melondrama $4.49 each | $44.90 | $47.38 | 6% | 100% | MP9 | Starlight Protector $47.94 |
| Restricted → Classified The Danger Zone Collection | MAC-10 | Pipe Down $0.37 each | $3.70 | $3.90 | 5% | 67% | Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries $4.35 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma Collection | MP5-SD | Gauss $0.42 each | $4.20 | $4.38 | 4% | 100% | XM1014 | Incinegator $4.64 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum 2 Collection | MP9 | Goo $0.84 each | $8.40 | $8.76 | 4% | 100% | M4A1-S | Leaded Glass $8.84 |
| Restricted → Classified The Shadow Collection | M249 | Nebula Crusader $0.83 each | $8.30 | $8.64 | 4% | 33% | AK-47 | Frontside Misty $13.04 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma 2 Collection | MAG-7 | Justice $4.27 each | $42.70 | $44.31 | 4% | 100% | M4A1-S | Player Two $45.11 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma Collection | AUG | Momentum $4.23 each | $42.30 | $43.79 | 4% | 100% | M4A4 | The Emperor $44.58 |
| Restricted → Classified The Recoil Collection | R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 $0.28 each | $2.80 | $2.89 | 3% | 33% | AK-47 | Ice Coaled $3.37 |
| Classified → Covert The Fever Collection | UMP-45 | K.O. Factory $3.42 each | $34.20 | $35.02 | 2% | 100% | FAMAS | Bad Trip $35.33 |
| Classified → Covert The Vanguard Collection | SCAR-20 | Cardiac $6.52 each | $65.20 | $66.75 | 2% | 100% | AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel $67.11 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum Collection | UMP-45 | Scaffold $1.02 each | $10.20 | $10.41 | 2% | 67% | AWP | Fever Dream $10.94 |
| Classified → Covert The Kilowatt Collection | Zeus x27 | Olympus $2.34 each | $23.40 | $23.60 | 1% | 50% | AK-47 | Inheritance $25.75 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma 2 Collection | Desert Eagle | Directive $0.94 each | $9.40 | $9.46 | 1% | 67% | AUG | Syd Mead $9.55 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 2 Collection | CZ75-Auto | Pole Position $0.98 each | $9.80 | $9.85 | 0% | 67% | Galil AR | Eco $10.04 |
EV assumes each outcome is equally likely (true for single-collection contracts) and uses each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides. Verify floats and wear-specific prices in the trade-up calculator before committing skins — contracts are irreversible.
Closest to Break-Even
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classified → Covert The Recoil Collection | Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love $2.64 each | $26.40 | $26.33 | -0% | 50% | USP-S | Printstream $26.78 |
| Classified → Covert The Revolution Collection | UMP-45 | Wild Child $2.36 each | $23.60 | $23.50 | -0% | 0% | M4A4 | Temukau $23.55 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 2 Collection | Five-SeveN | Monkey Business $9.66 each | $96.60 | $95.91 | -1% | 50% | MAC-10 | Neon Rider $97.07 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 3 Collection | AUG | Fleet Flock $9.63 each | $96.30 | $94.94 | -1% | 0% | PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis $95.89 |
| Classified → Covert The Fracture Collection | XM1014 | Entombed $2.85 each | $28.50 | $28.06 | -2% | 0% | Desert Eagle | Printstream $28.44 |
| Restricted → Classified The Snakebite Collection | MAC-10 | Button Masher $0.28 each | $2.80 | $2.74 | -2% | 33% | Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration $2.83 |
| Restricted → Classified The Breakout Collection | CZ75-Auto | Tigris $1.67 each | $16.70 | $16.15 | -3% | 0% | Desert Eagle | Conspiracy $16.63 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum 2 Collection | PP-Bizon | High Roller $8.68 each | $86.80 | $83.68 | -4% | 0% | AK-47 | The Empress $83.68 |
| Restricted → Classified The Falchion Collection | P2000 | Handgun $0.45 each | $4.50 | $4.34 | -4% | 33% | MP7 | Nemesis $6.16 |
| Restricted → Classified The Clutch Collection | Nova | Wild Six $0.29 each | $2.90 | $2.79 | -4% | 0% | AWP | Mortis $2.87 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the trade-up finder work?
Every hour we recompute every single-collection trade-up contract: 10 of the cheapest same-rarity skins from one collection, against the average market value of that collection's next-tier skins (each outcome is equally likely in a single-collection contract). Contracts are ranked by expected profit relative to cost.
Why don't I see map-collection skins here?
Since the 22 May 2026 update, Souvenir skins can be used in trade-up contracts — including map collections such as Norse, Canals, St. Marc and Cobblestone — and the output is always a normal-quality skin. Those collections' inputs exist only as Souvenirs, which trade at different prices from the normal-quality prices this scanner uses, so it covers case collections only for now.
Why single-collection contracts?
With all 10 inputs from one collection, the outcome pool is fully deterministic and every next-tier skin is equally likely — so the expected value is exact, not an estimate. Mixing collections can improve odds further; take any base contract into our trade-up calculator to experiment with ratios.
Is expected value guaranteed profit?
No. EV is the long-run average across many contracts — a single trade-up can land on the cheapest outcome. The 'hit chance' column shows the share of outcomes that beat your cost on their own. Never trade more than you can afford to lose to variance.
Why do the numbers differ from what I see in-game?
Prices move constantly and wear matters: we use each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides, and the output's float derives from your inputs' floats. Before trading, check the actual floats and wear-specific prices of your exact inputs in the trade-up calculator.
Can trade-ups produce knives?
Since the October 2025 update, Covert-tier contracts can output knives from eligible cases — a separate mechanic from the collection contracts listed here, with its own economics.