Live CS2 Tool
CS2 Trade-Up Finder
Every single-collection trade-up contract in CS2, recomputed hourly from live prices and ranked by expected value. Found one you like? Open it in the calculator and tune the inputs.
EV-Positive Contracts Right Now
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted → Classified The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | USP-S | Ticket to Hell $0.45 each | $4.50 | $5.47 | 22% | 100% | Dual Berettas | Melondrama $5.51 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fever Collection | Zeus x27 | Tosai $0.32 each | $3.20 | $3.74 | 17% | 100% | Glock-18 | Shinobu $3.84 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma 2 Collection | SCAR-20 | Enforcer $0.42 each | $4.20 | $4.83 | 15% | 100% | AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor $5.00 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum 2 Collection | MP9 | Goo $0.85 each | $8.50 | $9.23 | 9% | 100% | M4A1-S | Leaded Glass $9.38 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 2 Collection | FAMAS | Djinn $10.48 each | $104.80 | $111.84 | 7% | 100% | MAC-10 | Neon Rider $113.01 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 3 Collection | SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader $1.04 each | $10.40 | $10.95 | 5% | 100% | UMP-45 | Primal Saber $11.22 |
| Classified → Covert The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement $5.45 each | $54.50 | $57.02 | 5% | 100% | MP9 | Starlight Protector $57.55 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum 2 Collection | R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon $9.02 each | $90.20 | $94.12 | 4% | 100% | P250 | See Ya Later $94.99 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fracture Collection | MP5-SD | Kitbash $0.30 each | $3.00 | $3.13 | 4% | 100% | Glock-18 | Vogue $3.17 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma 2 Collection | Glock-18 | Weasel $0.99 each | $9.90 | $10.31 | 4% | 100% | MP9 | Airlock $10.44 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 3 Collection | P250 | Asiimov $10.79 each | $107.90 | $112.31 | 4% | 100% | PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis $114.15 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma 2 Collection | MAG-7 | Justice $4.74 each | $47.40 | $49.33 | 4% | 100% | M4A1-S | Player Two $49.99 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma Collection | MP5-SD | Gauss $0.49 each | $4.90 | $5.08 | 4% | 100% | XM1014 | Incinegator $5.24 |
| Restricted → Classified The Danger Zone Collection | MAC-10 | Pipe Down $0.41 each | $4.10 | $4.21 | 3% | 33% | Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries $4.66 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma Collection | M4A4 | Desolate Space $10.25 each | $102.50 | $105.01 | 2% | 100% | Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel $106.17 |
| Restricted → Classified The Shadow Collection | M249 | Nebula Crusader $0.88 each | $8.80 | $9.00 | 2% | 33% | AK-47 | Frontside Misty $13.97 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma 2 Collection | Tec-9 | Fuel Injector $10.22 each | $102.20 | $104.38 | 2% | 100% | FAMAS | Roll Cage $104.60 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma Collection | AUG | Momentum $4.94 each | $49.40 | $50.43 | 2% | 100% | M4A4 | The Emperor $50.69 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma Collection | R8 Revolver | Reboot $1.06 each | $10.60 | $10.78 | 2% | 33% | SCAR-20 | Bloodsport $11.65 |
| Classified → Covert The Fever Collection | UMP-45 | K.O. Factory $3.69 each | $36.90 | $37.40 | 1% | 100% | AWP | Printstream $37.46 |
| Restricted → Classified The Recoil Collection | M249 | Downtown $0.30 each | $3.00 | $3.04 | 1% | 33% | AK-47 | Ice Coaled $3.53 |
| Classified → Covert The Snakebite Collection | XM1014 | XOXO $2.69 each | $26.90 | $27.02 | 0% | 50% | USP-S | The Traitor $28.99 |
| Restricted → Classified The Kilowatt Collection | M4A4 | Etch Lord $0.29 each | $2.90 | $2.91 | 0% | 33% | M4A1-S | Black Lotus $3.38 |
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Spectrum 2 Collection | AUG | Triqua $0.09 each | $0.90 | $0.90 | 0% | 60% | CZ75-Auto | Tacticat $0.93 |
EV assumes each outcome is equally likely (true for single-collection contracts) and uses each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides. Verify floats and wear-specific prices in the trade-up calculator before committing skins — contracts are irreversible.
Closest to Break-Even
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | Five-SeveN | Scrawl $0.05 each | $0.50 | $0.50 | 0% | 60% | XM1014 | Zombie Offensive $0.54 |
| Restricted → Classified The Clutch Collection | UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf $0.30 each | $3.00 | $2.99 | -0% | 33% | AWP | Mortis $3.15 |
| Restricted → Classified The Vanguard Collection | Sawed-Off | Highwayman $0.85 each | $8.50 | $8.47 | -0% | 67% | XM1014 | Tranquility $9.13 |
| Restricted → Classified The CS20 Collection | MP5-SD | Agent $0.39 each | $3.90 | $3.87 | -1% | 33% | MP9 | Hydra $4.91 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 2 Collection | MAG-7 | Heat $1.08 each | $10.80 | $10.72 | -1% | 33% | Five-SeveN | Monkey Business $10.93 |
| Classified → Covert The Fracture Collection | M4A4 | Tooth Fairy $3.06 each | $30.60 | $30.16 | -1% | 50% | Desert Eagle | Printstream $31.31 |
| Restricted → Classified The Glove Collection | M4A1-S | Flashback $2.56 each | $25.60 | $25.21 | -2% | 33% | FAMAS | Mecha Industries $25.63 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum Collection | UMP-45 | Scaffold $1.07 each | $10.70 | $10.51 | -2% | 0% | AWP | Fever Dream $10.69 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum Collection | M4A1-S | Decimator $10.41 each | $104.10 | $101.94 | -2% | 50% | AK-47 | Bloodsport $110.68 |
| Classified → Covert The Gallery Collection | UMP-45 | Neo-Noir $3.18 each | $31.80 | $31.11 | -2% | 50% | M4A1-S | Vaporwave $36.45 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the trade-up finder work?
Every hour we recompute every single-collection trade-up contract: 10 of the cheapest same-rarity skins from one collection, against the average market value of that collection's next-tier skins (each outcome is equally likely in a single-collection contract). Contracts are ranked by expected profit relative to cost.
Why don't I see map-collection skins here?
Skins from souvenir and map collections (Norse, Canals, St. Marc, and similar) are not trade-up eligible — they only come from souvenir packages. The scanner covers case collections, whose skins can actually enter contracts.
Why single-collection contracts?
With all 10 inputs from one collection, the outcome pool is fully deterministic and every next-tier skin is equally likely — so the expected value is exact, not an estimate. Mixing collections can improve odds further; take any base contract into our trade-up calculator to experiment with ratios.
Is expected value guaranteed profit?
No. EV is the long-run average across many contracts — a single trade-up can land on the cheapest outcome. The 'hit chance' column shows the share of outcomes that beat your cost on their own. Never trade more than you can afford to lose to variance.
Why do the numbers differ from what I see in-game?
Prices move constantly and wear matters: we use each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides, and the output's float derives from your inputs' floats. Before trading, check the actual floats and wear-specific prices of your exact inputs in the trade-up calculator.
Can trade-ups produce knives?
Since the October 2025 update, Covert-tier contracts can output knives from eligible cases — a separate mechanic from the collection contracts listed here, with its own economics.