Live CS2 Tool
CS2 Trade-Up Finder
Every single-collection trade-up contract in CS2, recomputed hourly from live prices and ranked by expected value. Found one you like? Open it in the calculator and tune the inputs.
EV-Positive Contracts Right Now
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | Five-SeveN | Scrawl $0.05 each | $0.50 | $0.56 | 13% | 100% | M4A1-S | Night Terror $0.60 |
| Restricted → Classified The Recoil Collection | Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora $0.30 each | $3.00 | $3.38 | 13% | 100% | AK-47 | Ice Coaled $3.73 |
| Restricted → Classified The Danger Zone Collection | G3SG1 | Scavenger $0.40 each | $4.00 | $4.44 | 11% | 67% | Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries $4.92 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma 2 Collection | MAG-7 | Justice $4.68 each | $46.80 | $51.58 | 10% | 100% | Glock-18 | Bullet Queen $53.20 |
| Classified → Covert The Fracture Collection | M4A4 | Tooth Fairy $3.10 each | $31.00 | $33.25 | 7% | 100% | Desert Eagle | Printstream $34.28 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum 2 Collection | PP-Bizon | High Roller $9.16 each | $91.60 | $97.24 | 6% | 100% | P250 | See Ya Later $98.42 |
| Classified → Covert The Fever Collection | Glock-18 | Shinobu $4.00 each | $40.00 | $42.45 | 6% | 100% | AWP | Printstream $42.86 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 3 Collection | UMP-45 | Primal Saber $10.18 each | $101.80 | $107.59 | 6% | 100% | PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis $107.88 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma 2 Collection | Tec-9 | Fuel Injector $9.90 each | $99.00 | $104.42 | 5% | 100% | AK-47 | Neon Revolution $106.59 |
| Classified → Covert The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | Dual Berettas | Melondrama $5.60 each | $56.00 | $58.18 | 4% | 100% | AK-47 | Nightwish $58.87 |
| Restricted → Classified The Revolver Case Collection | Negev | Power Loader $0.89 each | $8.90 | $9.24 | 4% | 33% | AK-47 | Point Disarray $12.83 |
| Restricted → Classified The Kilowatt Collection | MP7 | Just Smile $0.33 each | $3.30 | $3.42 | 4% | 33% | M4A1-S | Black Lotus $4.36 |
| Classified → Covert The Gamma Collection | P2000 | Imperial Dragon $10.18 each | $101.80 | $105.48 | 4% | 100% | Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel $106.11 |
| Classified → Covert The Prisma Collection | AUG | Momentum $5.19 each | $51.90 | $53.73 | 4% | 100% | M4A4 | The Emperor $54.27 |
| Classified → Covert The Revolver Case Collection | G3SG1 | The Executioner $7.36 each | $73.60 | $76.16 | 3% | 50% | R8 Revolver | Fade $79.73 |
| Classified → Covert The Spectrum Collection | M4A1-S | Decimator $11.07 each | $110.70 | $114.38 | 3% | 50% | AK-47 | Bloodsport $129.89 |
| Mil-Spec → Restricted The Spectrum 2 Collection | G3SG1 | Hunter $0.09 each | $0.90 | $0.93 | 3% | 100% | SG 553 | Phantom $0.94 |
| Restricted → Classified The Fever Collection | P90 | Wave Breaker $0.39 each | $3.90 | $4.01 | 3% | 100% | AK-47 | Searing Rage $4.02 |
| Restricted → Classified The Dreams & Nightmares Collection | G3SG1 | Dream Glade $0.55 each | $5.50 | $5.65 | 3% | 100% | FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement $5.69 |
| Classified → Covert The Chroma 2 Collection | FAMAS | Djinn $10.46 each | $104.60 | $107.29 | 3% | 100% | MAC-10 | Neon Rider $107.44 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum 2 Collection | MP9 | Goo $0.91 each | $9.10 | $9.22 | 1% | 100% | R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon $9.30 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma 2 Collection | Desert Eagle | Directive $1.00 each | $10.00 | $10.09 | 1% | 67% | AUG | Syd Mead $10.34 |
| Classified → Covert The Horizon Collection | Sawed-Off | Devourer $4.19 each | $41.90 | $42.17 | 1% | 50% | AK-47 | Neon Rider $46.34 |
| Classified → Covert The Snakebite Collection | XM1014 | XOXO $2.91 each | $29.10 | $29.29 | 1% | 50% | M4A4 | In Living Color $29.56 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 3 Collection | CZ75-Auto | Red Astor $1.04 each | $10.40 | $10.45 | 0% | 67% | AUG | Fleet Flock $10.63 |
| Classified → Covert The Danger Zone Collection | MP5-SD | Phosphor $3.96 each | $39.60 | $39.75 | 0% | 50% | AWP | Neo-Noir $40.34 |
EV assumes each outcome is equally likely (true for single-collection contracts) and uses each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides. Verify floats and wear-specific prices in the trade-up calculator before committing skins — contracts are irreversible.
Closest to Break-Even
| Contract | Cheapest Input ×10 | Cost | Expected Value | ROI | Hit Chance | Best Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classified → Covert The Vanguard Collection | SCAR-20 | Cardiac $7.39 each | $73.90 | $73.86 | -0% | 50% | AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel $74.04 |
| Restricted → Classified The Gamma Collection | Sawed-Off | Limelight $1.05 each | $10.50 | $10.48 | -0% | 33% | SCAR-20 | Bloodsport $10.77 |
| Classified → Covert The Kilowatt Collection | Zeus x27 | Olympus $2.95 each | $29.50 | $29.38 | -0% | 50% | AK-47 | Inheritance $34.58 |
| Restricted → Classified The Spectrum Collection | MAC-10 | Last Dive $1.18 each | $11.80 | $11.73 | -1% | 67% | CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu $12.25 |
| Restricted → Classified The Glove Collection | Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts $3.10 each | $31.00 | $30.78 | -1% | 33% | Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess $31.77 |
| Restricted → Classified The Chroma 2 Collection | MAG-7 | Heat $1.08 each | $10.80 | $10.71 | -1% | 33% | Galil AR | Eco $11.00 |
| Classified → Covert The Recoil Collection | P250 | Visions $3.07 each | $30.70 | $30.41 | -1% | 50% | USP-S | Printstream $32.59 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma Collection | MP5-SD | Gauss $0.53 each | $5.30 | $5.24 | -1% | 33% | R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher $5.31 |
| Classified → Covert The CS20 Collection | P90 | Nostalgia $3.40 each | $34.00 | $33.51 | -1% | 50% | AWP | Wildfire $36.43 |
| Restricted → Classified The Prisma 2 Collection | SCAR-20 | Enforcer $0.50 each | $5.00 | $4.93 | -1% | 33% | MAC-10 | Disco Tech $5.13 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the trade-up finder work?
Every hour we recompute every single-collection trade-up contract: 10 of the cheapest same-rarity skins from one collection, against the average market value of that collection's next-tier skins (each outcome is equally likely in a single-collection contract). Contracts are ranked by expected profit relative to cost.
Why don't I see map-collection skins here?
Skins from souvenir and map collections (Norse, Canals, St. Marc, and similar) are not trade-up eligible — they only come from souvenir packages. The scanner covers case collections, whose skins can actually enter contracts.
Why single-collection contracts?
With all 10 inputs from one collection, the outcome pool is fully deterministic and every next-tier skin is equally likely — so the expected value is exact, not an estimate. Mixing collections can improve odds further; take any base contract into our trade-up calculator to experiment with ratios.
Is expected value guaranteed profit?
No. EV is the long-run average across many contracts — a single trade-up can land on the cheapest outcome. The 'hit chance' column shows the share of outcomes that beat your cost on their own. Never trade more than you can afford to lose to variance.
Why do the numbers differ from what I see in-game?
Prices move constantly and wear matters: we use each skin's cheapest listed wear on both sides, and the output's float derives from your inputs' floats. Before trading, check the actual floats and wear-specific prices of your exact inputs in the trade-up calculator.
Can trade-ups produce knives?
Since the October 2025 update, Covert-tier contracts can output knives from eligible cases — a separate mechanic from the collection contracts listed here, with its own economics.