UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Price
CS2 smg prices, float values & marketplace comparison
Also priced separately: Souvenir Fallout Warning
CSDB estimated value · Field-Tested
$8.60–$9.60
Best current price
$7.93
DMarket · 24% below Steam
Lowest recorded ask, 9 Oct 2026 · verify on the marketplace
- Highest buy order
- $10.39Steam
- 30D sales
- 15Steam
- Liquidity
- 35/100Moderate
- Float range
- 0.15–0.38Field-Tested
- Listings
- 196tracked markets
- Markets quoting
- 13
Marketplace prices from the daily snapshot · updated
Marketplace Prices
Field-Tested · updated| Marketplace | Price | vs Steam | vs market median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMarketBest price★ 4.0Review | $7.93 | −24% | -12.7% | Search |
| CSFloat★ 4.8Review | $8.50 | −18% | -6.4% | Open |
| SkinFlow | $8.51 | −18% | -6.3% | Open |
| HaloSkinsReview | $8.76 | −16% | -3.5% | Search |
| Buff163Review | $8.94 | −14% | -1.5% | Search |
| Skinport★ 4.9ReviewCode CSDB | $9.07 | −13% | -0.1% | Search |
| Skins.com★ 3.8ReviewCode CSDB | $9.08 | −12% | 0.0% | View |
| Waxpeer★ 4.0ReviewCode CSDB | $9.25 | −11% | +1.9% | View |
| Steam Community MarketWallet funds | $10.37 | — | — |
Each price is that marketplace's lowest listing for this exact wear and variant. Buyer fees, where a marketplace charges them, are on top.
Individual Listings
Field-Tested · CSFloatSee the actual items for sale — exact float, paint seed, stickers and screenshots — and how each is priced against the base value of this wear.
Price History
Field-Tested · CSDB daily cross-market lowest listing · 31 observations
Full Price History
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) Steam price and trading volume since Aug 2014 — 440 days tracked.
Full price & volume history via SteamWebAPI · Steam Community Market.
UMP-45 Fallout Warning Prices by Wear
| Wear | CSDB value | Best price | Steam | 30D sales | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $56–$64 | $58.61 | $65.84 | 1 | 9 |
| Minimal Wear | $26–$29 | $25.66 | $33 | 7 | 13 |
| Field-Tested | $8.60–$9.60 | $7.93 | $10.37 | 15 | 13 |
| Well-Worn | $9.60–$11.80 | $8.37 | $8.98 | 8 | 8 |
| Battle-Scarred | $7.80–$8.60 | $6.74 | $8.17 | 9 | 7 |
CSDB value is an estimate from recorded sales and cleaned marketplace asks, shown as a range. "Best price" is the lowest listing that survived outlier checks. Where a wear has only a few asks and no recorded sales, CSDB shows the ask and declines to value it. Method
CSDB Market Score
Field-Tested- Liquidity3515 sales in 30 days, 196 listings across tracked markets
- Demand9165% of Steam's open offers sold in 30 days
- Market depth7713 marketplaces quoting, 196 listings
- Spread quality052.2% between the cheapest and dearest cleaned ask
- Data confidence60current listings on 13 marketplaces; 15 Steam sales in 30 days show it trades, but no cash sale prices are recorded
How easy this market is to trade in at a fair price — not a view on where the price is going. Subscores appear only where the inputs exist for this wear.
Market Statistics
Field-Tested- CSDB estimated value
- $8.60–$9.60medium confidence
- Lowest current listing
- $7.93
- Cash-market median ask
- $9.0813 markets
- Steam price
- $10.37wallet funds
- Steam median sale · 30D
- $12.27wallet funds
- Highest buy order
- $10.39823 wanted · Steam
- Steam bid/ask spread
- 0%
- Steam sales · 7D
- 7
- Steam sales · 30D
- 15
- Steam sales · 90D
- 62
- Median time to sell
- 7 hoursSteam
- Active listings
- 196tracked markets
- Days to clear the book
- 46Steam offers at Steam sale rate
- Marketplaces quoting
- 13
- Cross-market spread
- 52.2%cleaned asks, Steam excluded
- Liquidity
- 35/100Moderate
Only figures the data supports are listed — a missing row means the feed does not report it for this wear, not that it is zero. How these are measured
Float Analysis
0.06–0.80| Wear | Floats this skin can roll | Share of its range | CSDB value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.06–0.07 | 1.4% | $56–$64 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07–0.15 | 10.8% | $26–$29 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15–0.38 | 31.1% | $8.60–$9.60 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38–0.45 | 9.5% | $9.60–$11.80 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45–0.80 | 47.3% | $7.80–$8.60 |
- Factory New is a sliver. It only spans 0.06–0.07 on this skin — 1.4% of its float range — so very few exist, it trades thinly and its estimate carries lower confidence.
- Float premium within a wear:not published yet. Measuring it needs completed sales with their exact floats, and CSDB does not hold enough of those for this skin to separate a float premium from ordinary price noise. Load the individual listings above to see how each item's float sits within its wear.
Lowest Floats on the Market
UMP-45 Fallout Warning Details
- Weapon
- UMP-45
- Finish
- Fallout Warning
- Rarity
- Industrial
- Category
- SMG
- Collection
- The Nuke Collection
- First seen on market
- 7 Aug 2013
- Float range
- 0.06–0.80
- Paint index
- 169
- StatTrak™ available
- No
- Souvenir available
- Yes
- Unbox chance
- Not a case drop — it comes from The Nuke Collection.
- SMG skins tracked
- 293
- Cheaper than 16% of UMP-45 finishes, comparing each at its most affordable valued wear.
- #39 of 44 UMP-45 finishes by Steam sales in the last 30 days (all wears).
Market Summary
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested has a CSDB estimated market value of $8.60–$9.60 (medium confidence), with the cheapest tracked listing at $7.93 on DMarket. Steam lists it at $10.37, so the best cash price is 24% lower. This wear recorded 15 Steam sales in the past 30 days and scores 35/100 for liquidity. Across the wears CSDB can value, UMP-45 | Fallout Warning spans about $7.80–$64.
Fallout Warning Skins
All 4 →
Other UMP-45 Skins
All UMP-45 skins →Nearest in value first.
More From The Nuke Collection
About UMP-45 | Fallout Warning
The misunderstood middle child of the SMG family, the UMP45's small magazine is the only drawback to an otherwise versatile close-quarters automatic. It has been spray-painted with radiological warning hazard patterns.— Official in-game description
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is a Industrial smg finish from the The Nuke Collection, on the market since 2013. It has no StatTrak™ version, and as a Souvenir item from souvenir packages.
The UMP-45 is a smg in CS2 that costs $1,200 in-game.
Frequently Asked Questions
- How much is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning worth?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is worth roughly $7.80–$64 depending on wear, on CSDB's estimate. Factory New: $56–$64; Minimal Wear: $26–$29; Field-Tested: $8.60–$9.60; Well-Worn: $9.60–$11.80; Battle-Scarred: $7.80–$8.60.
- What is the cheapest UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?
- The cheapest tracked listing is Battle-Scarred at $6.74 on CSFloat, 18% below the Steam price of $8.17.
- What is the Factory New UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Factory New UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $56–$64 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $58.61 on Skins.com, against $65.84 on Steam.
- What is the Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $26–$29 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $25.66 on CSFloat, against $33 on Steam.
- What is the Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $8.60–$9.60 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $7.93 on DMarket, against $10.37 on Steam.
- What float can UMP-45 | Fallout Warning have?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning rolls floats from 0.06 to 0.80. Factory New 0.06–0.07, Minimal Wear 0.07–0.15, Field-Tested 0.15–0.38, Well-Worn 0.38–0.45, Battle-Scarred 0.45–0.80. Factory New covers only 1.4% of that range, which is why so few exist.
- How liquid is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?
- Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning scores 35/100 on CSDB's liquidity measure (moderate): 15 recorded sales in 30 days, and 196 active listings across the marketplaces we track. Those are separate counts from separate venues, so they are scored as separate signals rather than divided into one another. Within Steam alone, where the sales and the open offers are the same population, the current book would take about 46 days to clear at that rate.
- When was UMP-45 | Fallout Warning released?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning first appeared on the Steam Community Market on 7 August 2013. That is its first market listing, which for most items is within a day of release.