UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Price
CS2 smg prices, float values & marketplace comparison
Also priced separately: Souvenir Fallout Warning
CSDB estimated value · Field-Tested
$7.60–$8.80
Best current price
$7.53
LIS-SKINS · 28% below Steam
- Highest buy order
- $9.86Steam
- 30D sales
- 21Steam
- Liquidity
- 43/100Moderate
- Float range
- 0.15–0.38Field-Tested
- Listings
- 198tracked markets
- Markets quoting
- 12
Marketplace prices from the daily snapshot · updated
Marketplace Prices
Field-Tested · updated| Marketplace | Price | vs Steam | vs market median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIS-SKINSBest price★ 4.8Review | $7.53 | −28% | -7.7% | Buy |
| Skin.Land | $7.54 | −28% | -7.6% | Buy |
| Tradeit.gg★ 4.8ReviewCode CSDB | $7.76 | −26% | -4.9% | Buy |
| Waxpeer★ 4.0ReviewCode CSDB | $7.91 | −25% | -3.1% | Buy |
| CSFloat★ 4.8Review | $8.14 | −23% | -0.2% | Buy |
| Skinport★ 4.9ReviewCode CSDB | $8.18 | −22% | +0.2% | Buy |
| CSGO.com | $8.33 | −21% | +2.1% | Buy |
| HaloSkinsReview | $8.59 | −18% | +5.3% | Buy |
| Steam Community MarketWallet funds | $10.53 | — | — |
Each price is that marketplace's lowest listing for this exact wear and variant. Buyer fees, where a marketplace charges them, are on top.
Individual Listings
Field-Tested · CSFloatSee the actual items for sale — exact float, paint seed, stickers and screenshots — and how each is priced against the base value of this wear.
Price History
Field-Tested · CSDB daily cross-market lowest listing · 11 observations
Full Price History
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) Steam price and trading volume since Aug 2014 — 439 days tracked.
Full price & volume history via SteamWebAPI · Steam Community Market.
UMP-45 Fallout Warning Prices by Wear
| Wear | CSDB value | Best price | Steam | 30D sales | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $62–$74 | $65 | $76.05 | 1 | 9 |
| Minimal Wear | $22.50–$32.50 | $25.38 | $32.11 | 8 | 12 |
| Field-Tested | $7.60–$8.80 | $7.53 | $10.53 | 21 | 12 |
| Well-Worn | $6.80–$11.60 | $7.75 | $10.67 | 10 | 6 |
| Battle-Scarred | $7.20–$8.00 | $7.00 | $10.27 | 4 | 7 |
CSDB value is an estimate from recorded sales and cleaned marketplace asks, shown as a range. "Best price" is the lowest listing that survived outlier checks. Where a wear has only a few asks and no recorded sales, CSDB shows the ask and declines to value it. Method
CSDB Market Score
Field-Tested- Liquidity4321 sales in 30 days, 198 listings
- Demand5111% of listed supply sold in 30 days
- Market depth7110 marketplaces quoting, 198 listings
- Spread quality3120.7% between the cheapest and dearest cleaned ask
- Data confidence54current listings on 10 marketplaces; 21 Steam sales in 30 days show it trades, but no cash sale prices are recorded
How easy this market is to trade in at a fair price — not a view on where the price is going. Subscores appear only where the inputs exist for this wear.
Market Statistics
Field-Tested- CSDB estimated value
- $7.60–$8.80medium confidence
- Lowest current listing
- $7.53
- Cash-market median ask
- $8.1610 markets
- Steam price
- $10.53wallet funds
- Steam median sale · 30D
- $9.74wallet funds
- Highest buy order
- $9.86831 wanted · Steam
- Steam bid/ask spread
- 6%
- Steam sales · 7D
- 3
- Steam sales · 30D
- 21
- Steam sales · 90D
- 80
- Active listings
- 198tracked markets
- Marketplaces quoting
- 12
- Cross-market spread
- 20.7%cleaned asks, Steam excluded
- Liquidity
- 43/100Moderate
Only figures the data supports are listed — a missing row means the feed does not report it for this wear, not that it is zero. How these are measured
Recent Sales — What It Actually Sells For
Listed prices are asks; these are completed sales on Skinport over the last 7 and 30 days. The gap between the two is the real negotiating room.
| Wear | Sold (7d) | Median (7d) | Sold (30d) | Median (30d) | 30d range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimal Wear | 1 | $72.30 | 1 | $72.30 | $72.30–$72.30 |
| Field-Tested | 0 | — | 1 | $7.11 | $7.11–$7.11 |
| Well-Worn | 0 | — | 0 | — | —–— |
Sold-price data via Skinport, refreshed daily (as of 19 Sept). One marketplace's completed sales — a floor on truth, not the whole market.
Float Analysis
0.06–0.80| Wear | Floats this skin can roll | Share of its range | CSDB value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.06–0.07 | 1.4% | $62–$74 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07–0.15 | 10.8% | $22.50–$32.50 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15–0.38 | 31.1% | $7.60–$8.80 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38–0.45 | 9.5% | $6.80–$11.60 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45–0.80 | 47.3% | $7.20–$8.00 |
- Factory New is a sliver. It only spans 0.06–0.07 on this skin — 1.4% of its float range — so very few exist, it trades thinly and its estimate carries lower confidence.
- Float premium within a wear:not published yet. Measuring it needs completed sales with their exact floats, and CSDB does not hold enough of those for this skin to separate a float premium from ordinary price noise. Load the individual listings above to see how each item's float sits within its wear.
Lowest Floats on the Market
UMP-45 Fallout Warning Details
- Weapon
- UMP-45
- Finish
- Fallout Warning
- Rarity
- Industrial
- Category
- SMG
- Collection
- The Nuke Collection
- First seen on market
- 7 Aug 2013
- Float range
- 0.06–0.80
- Paint index
- 169
- StatTrak™ available
- No
- Souvenir available
- Yes
- Case drop odds (grade)
- ~79.92%
- SMG skins tracked
- 293
- Cheaper than 16% of UMP-45 finishes, comparing each at its most affordable valued wear.
- #39 of 44 UMP-45 finishes by Steam sales in the last 30 days (all wears).
Market Summary
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested has a CSDB estimated market value of $7.60–$8.80 (medium confidence), with the cheapest tracked listing at $7.53 on LIS-SKINS. Steam lists it at $10.53, so the best cash price is 28% lower. This wear recorded 21 Steam sales in the past 30 days and scores 43/100 for liquidity. Across the wears CSDB can value, UMP-45 | Fallout Warning spans about $6.80–$74.
Fallout Warning Skins
All 4 →
Other UMP-45 Skins
All UMP-45 skins →Nearest in value first.
More From The Nuke Collection
About UMP-45 | Fallout Warning
The misunderstood middle child of the SMG family, the UMP45's small magazine is the only drawback to an otherwise versatile close-quarters automatic. It has been spray-painted with radiological warning hazard patterns.— Official in-game description
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is a Industrial smg finish from the The Nuke Collection, on the market since 2013. It has no StatTrak™ version, and as a Souvenir item from Major souvenir packages.
The UMP-45 is a smg in CS2 that costs $1,200 in-game.
Frequently Asked Questions
- How much is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning worth?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is worth roughly $6.80–$74 depending on wear, on CSDB's estimate. Factory New: $62–$74; Minimal Wear: $22.50–$32.50; Field-Tested: $7.60–$8.80; Well-Worn: $6.80–$11.60; Battle-Scarred: $7.20–$8.00.
- What is the cheapest UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?
- The cheapest tracked listing is Battle-Scarred at $7.00 on CSFloat, 32% below the Steam price of $10.27.
- What is the Factory New UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Factory New UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $62–$74 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $65 on CSFloat, against $76.05 on Steam.
- What is the Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $22.50–$32.50 (low confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $25.38 on Youpin (UU), against $32.11 on Steam.
- What is the Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning price?
- Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $7.60–$8.80 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $7.53 on LIS-SKINS, against $10.53 on Steam.
- What float can UMP-45 | Fallout Warning have?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning rolls floats from 0.06 to 0.80. Factory New 0.06–0.07, Minimal Wear 0.07–0.15, Field-Tested 0.15–0.38, Well-Worn 0.38–0.45, Battle-Scarred 0.45–0.80. Factory New covers only 1.4% of that range, which is why so few exist.
- How liquid is UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?
- Field-Tested UMP-45 | Fallout Warning scores 43/100 on CSDB's liquidity measure (moderate): 21 sales in 30 days against 198 active listings — about 283 days of supply at that rate.
- When was UMP-45 | Fallout Warning released?
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning first appeared on the Steam Community Market on 7 August 2013. That is its first market listing, which for most items is within a day of release.