IndustrialHeavySouvenir available

XM1014 | Fallout Warning Price

CS2 heavy prices, float values & marketplace comparison

CSDB estimated value · Field-Tested

$9.00–$11.60

Medium confidenceBased on 3 recorded sales in 30 days (Skinport) and current listings on 9 marketplaces.

Best current price

$8.77

CSFloat · 26% below Steam

Steam$11.86
Best cash market$8.77
Difference$3.09
Cash discount ?26%
Highest buy order
$10.48Steam
30D sales
22Steam
Liquidity
36/100Moderate
Float range
0.15–0.38Field-Tested
Listings
145tracked markets
Markets quoting
10

Marketplace prices from the daily snapshot · updated

Marketplace Prices

Field-Tested · updated
MarketplacePricevs Steamvs market median
CSFloatBest price4.8Review$8.7726%-19.4%Buy
DMarket4.0Review$9.1123%-16.3%Buy
HaloSkinsReview$9.8517%-9.5%Buy
SkinFlow$10.0815%-7.4%Buy
Waxpeer4.0ReviewCode CSDB$10.888%0.0%Buy
LIS-SKINS4.8Review$10.997%+1.0%Buy
Skin.Land$11.007%+1.1%Buy
CSGO.com$11.572%+6.3%Buy
Steam Community MarketWallet funds$11.86

Each price is that marketplace's lowest listing for this exact wear and variant. Buyer fees, where a marketplace charges them, are on top.

Individual Listings

Field-Tested · CSFloat

See the actual items for sale — exact float, paint seed, stickers and screenshots — and how each is priced against the base value of this wear.

Price History

Field-Tested
Latest$7.78
30D-13.7%
High · 2026-08-27$9.01
Low · 2026-09-18$7.45

Field-Tested · CSDB daily cross-market lowest listing · 14 observations

Loading price history…

Full Price History

XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) Steam price and trading volume since Aug 2014439 days tracked.

$12.59Latest
$50.06All-time high
$0.53All-time low
2,560Total sold
Aug 2014Trading volumeSep 2026

Full price & volume history via SteamWebAPI · Steam Community Market.

XM1014 Fallout Warning Prices by Wear

WearCSDB valueBest priceSteam30D salesMarkets
Factory New$52–$100$65$150210
Minimal Wear$26.50–$29$26.74$39.99612
Field-Tested$9.00–$11.60$8.77$11.862210
Well-Worn$9.00–$10$9.49$11.5086
Battle-Scarred$8.60–$9.60$8.74$10.83167

CSDB value is an estimate from recorded sales and cleaned marketplace asks, shown as a range. "Best price" is the lowest listing that survived outlier checks. Where a wear has only a few asks and no recorded sales, CSDB shows the ask and declines to value it. Method

CSDB Market Score

Field-Tested
46/ 100Mixed market
  • Liquidity3622 sales in 30 days, 145 listings
  • Demand5915% of listed supply sold in 30 days
  • Market depth659 marketplaces quoting, 145 listings
  • Spread quality034.1% between the cheapest and dearest cleaned ask
  • Data confidence673 recorded sales in 30 days (Skinport) and current listings on 9 marketplaces

How easy this market is to trade in at a fair price — not a view on where the price is going. Subscores appear only where the inputs exist for this wear.

Market Statistics

Field-Tested
CSDB estimated value
$9.00–$11.60medium confidence
Lowest current listing
$8.77
Cash-market median ask
$10.889 markets
Median sale · 30D
$8.843 sales · Skinport
Steam price
$11.86wallet funds
Steam median sale · 30D
$11.86wallet funds
Highest buy order
$10.48120 wanted · Steam
Steam bid/ask spread
12%
Steam sales · 7D
1
Steam sales · 30D
22
Steam sales · 90D
81
Median time to sell
27 hoursSteam
Active listings
145tracked markets
Marketplaces quoting
10
Cross-market spread
34.1%cleaned asks, Steam excluded
Liquidity
36/100Moderate

Only figures the data supports are listed — a missing row means the feed does not report it for this wear, not that it is zero. How these are measured

Recent Sales — What It Actually Sells For

Listed prices are asks; these are completed sales on Skinport over the last 7 and 30 days. The gap between the two is the real negotiating room.

WearSold (7d)Median (7d)Sold (30d)Median (30d)30d range
Minimal Wear01$22.75$22.75$22.75
Field-Tested1$11.453$8.84$8.75$11.45
Well-Worn01$6.72$6.72$6.72
Battle-Scarred00

Sold-price data via Skinport, refreshed daily (as of 22 Sept). One marketplace's completed sales — a floor on truth, not the whole market.

Float Analysis

0.060.80
0.00 FNMWFTWWBS1.00
WearFloats this skin can rollShare of its rangeCSDB value
Factory New0.060.071.4%$52–$100
Minimal Wear0.070.1510.8%$26.50–$29
Field-Tested0.150.3831.1%$9.00–$11.60
Well-Worn0.380.459.5%$9.00–$10
Battle-Scarred0.450.8047.3%$8.60–$9.60
  • Factory New is a sliver. It only spans 0.060.07 on this skin — 1.4% of its float range — so very few exist, it trades thinly and its estimate carries lower confidence.
  • Float premium within a wear:not published yet. Measuring it needs completed sales with their exact floats, and CSDB does not hold enough of those for this skin to separate a float premium from ordinary price noise. Load the individual listings above to see how each item's float sits within its wear.

Lowest Floats on the Market

XM1014 Fallout Warning Details

Weapon
XM1014
Finish
Fallout Warning
Rarity
Industrial
Category
Heavy
Collection
The Nuke Collection
First seen on market
6 Aug 2013
Float range
0.060.80
Paint index
169
StatTrak™ available
No
Souvenir available
Yes
Case drop odds (grade)
~79.92%
Heavy skins tracked
210
  • Cheaper than 12% of XM1014 finishes, comparing each at its most affordable valued wear.
  • #38 of 44 XM1014 finishes by Steam sales in the last 30 days (all wears).

Market Summary

XM1014 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested has a CSDB estimated market value of $9.00–$11.60 (medium confidence), with the cheapest tracked listing at $8.77 on CSFloat. Steam lists it at $11.86, so the best cash price is 26% lower. This wear recorded 22 Steam sales in the past 30 days and scores 36/100 for liquidity. Across the wears CSDB can value, XM1014 | Fallout Warning spans about $8.60–$100.

Fallout Warning Skins

All 4

Other XM1014 Skins

All XM1014 skins →

Nearest in value first.

More From The Nuke Collection

About XM1014 | Fallout Warning

The XM1014 is a powerful fully automatic shotgun that justifies its heftier price tag with the ability to paint a room with lead fast. It has been spray-painted with radiological warning hazard patterns.— Official in-game description

XM1014 | Fallout Warning is a Industrial heavy finish from the The Nuke Collection, on the market since 2013. It has no StatTrak™ version, and as a Souvenir item from Major souvenir packages.

The XM1014 is a heavy in CS2 that costs $2,000 in-game.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much is XM1014 | Fallout Warning worth?
XM1014 | Fallout Warning is worth roughly $8.60–$100 depending on wear, on CSDB's estimate. Factory New: $52–$100; Minimal Wear: $26.50–$29; Field-Tested: $9.00–$11.60; Well-Worn: $9.00–$10; Battle-Scarred: $8.60–$9.60.
What is the cheapest XM1014 | Fallout Warning?
The cheapest tracked listing is Battle-Scarred at $8.74 on LIS-SKINS, 19% below the Steam price of $10.83.
What is the Factory New XM1014 | Fallout Warning price?
Factory New XM1014 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $52–$100 (low confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $65 on CSFloat, against $150 on Steam.
What is the Minimal Wear XM1014 | Fallout Warning price?
Minimal Wear XM1014 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $26.50–$29 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $26.74 on DMarket, against $39.99 on Steam.
What is the Field-Tested XM1014 | Fallout Warning price?
Field-Tested XM1014 | Fallout Warning has a CSDB estimated value of $9.00–$11.60 (medium confidence); the cheapest tracked listing is $8.77 on CSFloat, against $11.86 on Steam.
What float can XM1014 | Fallout Warning have?
XM1014 | Fallout Warning rolls floats from 0.06 to 0.80. Factory New 0.06–0.07, Minimal Wear 0.07–0.15, Field-Tested 0.15–0.38, Well-Worn 0.38–0.45, Battle-Scarred 0.45–0.80. Factory New covers only 1.4% of that range, which is why so few exist.
How liquid is XM1014 | Fallout Warning?
Field-Tested XM1014 | Fallout Warning scores 36/100 on CSDB's liquidity measure (moderate): 22 sales in 30 days against 145 active listings — about 198 days of supply at that rate.
When was XM1014 | Fallout Warning released?
XM1014 | Fallout Warning first appeared on the Steam Community Market on 6 August 2013. That is its first market listing, which for most items is within a day of release.

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