CS2 Weapon Case
Sealed Genesis Terminal
Sealed terminal released in September 2025 with 17 weapon finishes across four rarity tiers — unusually, it has no knife or glove tier.
Sealed Genesis Terminal
Sealed terminal released in September 2025 with 17 weapon finishes across four rarity tiers — unusually, it has no knife or glove tier.
Drop Odds Breakdown
See how these odds play out in practice with our Case Simulator or calculate expected costs with the Case Odds Calculator.
| Rarity Tier | Chance | Items | Per-Item Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% |
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% |
Odds are Valve’s published container probabilities; each item within a tier is equally likely, so per-item odds are the tier chance divided by the number of items in that tier. StatTrak appears on roughly 10% of non-special drops. Souvenir and other container types can differ.
Expected Value Analysis
Against a $2.50 cost (key $2.50) — you recover 17% on average
79.92% of openings return a low-value Mil-Spec — the distribution, not bad luck, drives the result
Method: every skin in a tier drops with equal probability; tier value uses each skin's lowest live marketplace price (17 of 17 contents priced). StatTrak upgrades (~10% of non-gold drops) and wear-tier variation are not modelled, so the true return sits slightly above this estimate. If you want a specific skin, trade-ups or buying it directly are almost always cheaper than opening for it. Prices updated Jul 13, 2026.
Case Contents
All 17 possible weapon skins in this case, grouped by rarity:
Covert (2 items)
Classified (3 items)
Restricted (5 items)
Case Opening Tips
- Case opening has negative expected value on average — try the Case Simulator risk-free first
- Invest in skins you love rather than opening for profit
- Consider float quality and condition when valuing items — use the Float Checker to analyse wear values
- StatTrak and Souvenir variants are rarer and more valuable
- Check live prices with the Price Tracker and Market Trends before buying
- Keep keys on secure accounts and enable Steam Guard
- Use the Skin Compare tool to compare similar skins before choosing
- Use the Trade-Up Calculator for better ROI than opening cases
- Check your current inventory value with the Inventory Lookup
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is the Sealed Genesis Terminal worth opening?
- On average, no. Opening the Sealed Genesis Terminal costs $2.50 and returns an expected $0.43 in skin value — you recover about 17% of what you spend. Opening is entertainment; if you want a specific skin, buying it directly is almost always cheaper.
- Can you get a knife from the Sealed Genesis Terminal?
- No — the Sealed Genesis Terminal has no rare special (gold) tier, so it cannot drop a knife or gloves. Its top tier is Covert at 0.64% per opening.
- What are the drop rates for the Sealed Genesis Terminal?
- Sealed Genesis Terminal uses Valve's standard weapon-case odds: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% — this container has no knife/gloves tier. Within each tier every skin is equally likely.
- What is the chance of a Covert from the Sealed Genesis Terminal?
- Any Covert (red) skin drops at 0.64% per opening. With 2 Covert skin(s) in this case, each specific Covert has about a 0.320% chance of being the one you unbox.