Shadow Case

Introduced Shadow Daggers with M4A1-S Golden Coil and USP-S Kill Confirmed.

Release Date

September 2015

Year

2015

Key Price

$1.1

Type

🎒 Weapon Case

Drop Odds Breakdown

See how these odds play out in practice with our Case Simulator or calculate expected costs with the Case Odds Calculator.

Mil-Spec 79.92%

Restricted 15.98%

Classified 3.20%

Covert 0.64%

Special 0.26%

Average Loss per Case

$-1.38

Opening a case on average loses money

Break-Even Price

$2.20

Average item value to break even

Recommendation

Trade Up

All 16 possible weapon skins in this case, grouped by rarity:

Case opening has negative expected value on average — try the Case Simulator risk-free first
Invest in skins you love rather than opening for profit
Consider float quality and condition when valuing items — use the Float Checker to analyse wear values
StatTrak and Souvenir variants are rarer and more valuable
Check live prices with the Price Tracker and Market Trends before buying
Keep keys on secure accounts and enable Steam Guard
Use the Skin Compare tool to compare similar skins before choosing
Use the Trade-Up Calculator for better ROI than opening cases
Check your current inventory value with the Inventory Lookup